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Miami Forecast:                                                                                        

“The 2006 Hurricane Season has been a disappointment, oh and we haven’t had much tropical activity either”

            Chief D-7 Meteorologist Bob Wevodau

THE INTRO: 

Oh Yeah.  When the schedule comes out in the Spring, you usually go through it and try to figure out what the Terps record is going to be before any games are actually played.  Well when I did it for the 2006 season, I’ll admit, I had this one down as an imaginary loss.  But things have changed my friend.  As I write this one of these programs is rising and the other one is falling, care to take a guess as to which team is which?  Right now we sit at 6-2 with a HUGE one looming in Death Valley, but with a little help regardless of the outcome versus Clemson, we could still be in the Atlantic Division Hunt, so this one is going to be big.

Even if things don’t go our way this Saturday (Clemson is giving 16 by the way, how disrespectful is that??), this will be a battle for win #7, and lets face it, going into this season with this young team, I would have gladly taken a 7-5 season.  As of now we have 6 wins under our belt so with each additional win, the temperature for our bowl game kickoff rises.  And not only would win #7 (but hopefully 8) upgrade our winter travel plans, it would also be a big win over a National Powerhouse, a little something to hang our hats on.  I mean come on, some Maryland fans out there seem to forget the 1985-2000 era.  Who would have ever imagined when Me, John, Chris, and Brian stood in a circle in the empty parking Lot behind Denton Hall in the pouring rain, drinking a bottle of whiskey out of a paper bag, that in just a few more seasons we would have the chance to beat both FSU and Miami in the same year.  THIS IS BIG PEOPLE!!!

Anyway lets get on to the weather:

THE HISTORY:

The average high in College Park, MD for November 11^th is 59 F° and the average low is 41 F°.  By the way Happy Armistice Day!  The record high for this date in College Park is 78 which occurred in 1949, and the record low was 26 which occurred in 1973.  So we’ve reached the point in the season where the absolutely hottest it has been on this date, still isn’t really that warm.  I guess Indian Summer is long gone.  Oh well, hopefully this will finally kill off the yellow jackets. 

THE FORECAST:

According to the Almanac things are looking great.  I would enjoy it though because the few days after this one they are calling for “A Major East Coast Storm!”, they even used the exclamation point, I’ve never seen that before.  Anyway, that’s not our problem for the Miami game and the Almanac is actually calling for “pleasant” weather which is great, but if we are playing Miami, I think I would prefer snow (spoiler alert, wait to you see the Snow Report Section!!).   Oh well this is what we are probably looking at as of now: 

The forecast for the November 11, 2006 “Downgrade the Hurricanes” game is for pleasant football weather (no use re-inventing the wheel).  This one is going to be a classic day for autumn football with blue skies, cool breezes, and hopefully scared Canes.  I’m thinking we are going to see a high slightly above the average temp, so somewhere in the low 60’s.  As we move into evening, and again ESPN has exercised it’s option on this one so even though it is only 8 days away, it could be at either 12:00, 3:30, or 8:00.  Personally I could live with 3:30, but I really am hoping 8:00!!  Anyway, as I was saying, as we move into the evening hours we should see the temps drop down into the mid to low 50’s.   I’ll officially call for a high of 63 and a low of 45 for the day.  The chance for precipitation is zero (boy I hope I don’t have to eat that sentence).  Like I said in the opening should be a beautiful day.   

There are no advisories for this game.  Leave the sunscreen and poncho’s at home, dress for a typical mid fall day, and you should be fine.

The game day sunrise in College Park, MD on November 11^th is for 6:46 am.  The sunset is scheduled for 4:57 pm set (brutal).  As for the moon, it will be up all morning and will set around 12:45 PM.  It will be a waning gibbous with 62% illumination. 

THE SNOW REPORT:

Yes, Finally something good to write about.  On this date WAY back in 1987 (I actually remember this one, I was thinking to myself, snow already this early?  We are going to have one heck of a winter.  Then it never snowed again and everyday was like 40 and cloudy) Washington DC received 11.5” of snow!!  Unbelievable.  Too bad this game is 19 years too late.  Could you imagine the boys from South Beach struggling around in a foot of snow?  I wonder if there was a Maryland game on this date back then?  I keep saying there probably hasn’t been an ACC snow game before, but maybe I’m wrong!  Anyway because of this revelation I’m going to go nuts and say the chance of snow on this date is 3%.  So there, the biggest possibility yet, but the BC forecast is just around the corner.   

Look here for further updates, as we get closer to game day.

 THE CHARITY PLEA:

Don’t forget to save your loose change and stray bills to donate to our “Save the Terrapin” fund.  Remember with every $15 we raise we can save/adopt one terrapin through the Terrapin Institute, which will be saved (by being tagged) from commercial harvest.  All “STT” progress will be monitored on the website.

                                                                                                                                                                                    “Save us!”

I guess I should probably move this out of the forecast section and leave it in the Tailgate recaps, but I guess it isn’t bad to remind everyone again.  After the FSU Game we now have $182, which means to date we have saved 12 terrapins.  We have reached our goal, but there are still more that can be saved.  Just this week the Sun reported 3x as many watermen trapping Terrapin this fall as there were last year.  So don’t stop giving! 

Look here for further updates, as we get closer to game day.

THE X-FACTOR: 

Just to show you some extremes that could happen and have happened on this particular date in weather history. 

• 1911 - The central U.S. experienced perhaps its most dramatic cold wave of record. During the early morning temperatures across the Central Plains ranged from 68 degrees at Kansas City to 4 above North Platte NE. In Kansas City, the temperature warmed to a record 76 degrees by late morning before the arctic front moved in from the northwest. Skies become overcast, winds shifted to the northwest, and the mercury began to plummet. By early afternoon it was cold enough to snow, and by midnight the temperature had dipped to a record cold reading of 11 degrees above zero. Oklahoma City also established a record high of 83 degrees and record low of 17 degrees that same day. In southeastern Kansas, the temperature at Independence plunged from 83 degrees to 33 degrees in just one hour. The arctic cold front produced severe thunderstorms and tornadoes in the Mississippi Valley, a blizzard in the Ohio Valley, and a dust storm in Oklahoma. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) (The Kansas City Weather Almanac)
• 1940 - An Armistice Day storm raged across the Great Lakes Region and the Upper Midwest. A blizzard left 49 dead in Minnesota, and gales on Lake Michigan caused ship wrecks resulting in another 59 deaths. Up to seventeen inches of snow fell in Iowa, and at Duluth MN the barometric pressure reached 28.66 inches. The blizzard claimed a total of 154 lives, and killed thousands of cattle in Iowa. Whole towns were isolated by huge snowdrifts. (David Ludlum)
• 1955 - An early arctic outbreak set many November temperature records across Oregon and Washington. The severe cold damaged shrubs and fruit trees. Readings plunged to near zero in western Washington, and dipped to 19 degrees below zero in the eastern part of the state. (David Ludlum)
• 1987 - A deepening low pressure system brought heavy snow to the east central U.S. The Veteran's Day storm produced up to 17 inches of snow in the Washington D.C. area snarling traffic and closing schools and airports. Afternoon thunderstorms produced five inches of snow in three hours. Gale force winds lashed the Middle and Northern Atlantic Coast. Norfolk VA reported their earliest measurable snow in 99 years of records. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) SEE, I DON’T MAKE THIS STUFF UP!!
• 1988 - Low pressure brought snow to parts of the Rocky Mountain Region. Totals in the San Juan (Dixon) Mountains of southwestern Colorado ranged up to 10 inches at Summitville. Evening thunderstorms produced large hail in central Oklahoma and north central Texas. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
• 1989 - Veteran's Day was an unseasonably warm one across much of the nation east of the Rockies. Temperatures warmed into the 70s and 80s from the Southern and Central Plains to the southern half of the Atlantic coast. Thirty-four cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Saint Louis MO with a reading of 85 degrees. Calico AR and Gilbert AR reported record highs of 87 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

***This is a disclaimer to remove all responsibility on myself if this forecast is wrong.  Being that it is very difficult to predict the weather greater than 48 hours in advance, the odds of needing this disclaimer are about 100%.  However I do believe this forecast will be pretty close to what we can actually look to expect.